Economic growth in Bosnia and Herzegovina is expected to slow to 2.3% in 2026, while inflation is projected to rise to 5%, according to the latest forecast from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), published in October 2026.
According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook report, Bosnia and Herzegovina’s economy grew by 2.4% in 2025. The new growth forecast for 2026 represents a slight improvement from the IMF’s April projection of 2.2%.
At the same time, inflation is expected to increase from 4% in 2025 to 5% in 2026, potentially putting additional pressure on household budgets, living standards, and consumers’ purchasing power.
The IMF forecasts that economic growth will accelerate to 2.6% in 2027, while inflation is expected to ease to 3.3%.
Bosnia and Herzegovina’s current account deficit is projected to widen to 4.9% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2026, compared with 3.1% in 2025.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is forecast to remain at 12.2% in both 2026 and 2027.
The projections point to continued moderate economic growth in Bosnia and Herzegovina, alongside challenges related to inflation, the external trade balance, and the labor market. Rising prices remain a key concern for households as the country navigates an uncertain economic environment.
